HDR/FAIR Methodology

Cyber Risk in Dollars, Not Guesswork

RiskRadar replaces subjective heat maps with Monte Carlo simulations that quantify your actual exposure. Finally answer: "What could a breach really cost us?"

Free to startNo credit card required
The Old Way: Heat Maps
Very Low
Low
Medium
High
Very High
Very Low
Low
Medium
High
Very High
Likelihood →
"It's... high risk?"
The RiskRadar Way: Dollar Distributions
Loss Exceedance CurveProbabilityLoss ($M)
$2.4M
Expected Annual Loss
$8M
10% chance of exceeding

Your board doesn't want to hear "high risk"

They want to know: How much could we lose? How likely is it? How much should we spend to prevent it?

Traditional Risk Assessment
  • Subjective "High/Medium/Low" ratings
  • Colors that don't add up to a budget
  • Can't compare risks mathematically
  • Impossible to calculate ROI
  • Board doesn't take it seriously
RiskRadar Approach
  • Dollar-denominated risk exposure
  • Probability distributions, not point estimates
  • Risks can be added and compared
  • Clear ROI calculations for controls
  • Board-ready financial language

Example: Top Risks Quantified

Risk ScenarioExpected Loss95th Percentile
Ransomware Attack$2.4M$8.2M
Data Breach$1.8M$12.1M
Insider Threat$0.9M$3.4M
DDoS Attack$0.3M$0.9M
Simple 4-Step Process

How RiskRadar Works

1

Define Scenarios

Start with what keeps you up at night—ransomware, data breaches, insider threats. Our FAIR-based wizard helps you decompose each risk into measurable components.

2

Get Calibrated

Most experts are overconfident. Our calibration training ensures your 90% confidence intervals are actually right 90% of the time.

3

Run Simulations

Monte Carlo analysis runs 10,000+ iterations using your estimates, producing probability distributions instead of single-point guesses.

4

Make Decisions

Prioritize investments by ROI, report to the board in their language, and know exactly how much risk reduction you're buying.

Everything You Need

Powerful Features for Risk Quantification

FAIR Model Built-In

Industry-standard Factor Analysis of Information Risk decomposition guides your assessments.

Monte Carlo Engine

10,000+ simulations produce reliable loss exceedance curves and percentile estimates.

Calibration Training

Structured exercises reduce overconfidence bias and improve estimate accuracy.

Loss Exceedance Curves

Visualize the full range of outcomes from best case to worst case scenarios.

Control ROI Calculator

Compare security investment costs against expected loss reduction.

Board-Ready Reports

Export professional reports with charts that executives understand.

$4.45M
Average cost of a data breach
IBM 2023
67%
of heat map assessments are inaccurate
Industry research
10,000+
Monte Carlo iterations per analysis
RiskRadar
90%
Target calibration accuracy
HDR methodology
Trusted Methodology

Built on Proven Frameworks

RiskRadar implements the methodology from "How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk" by Douglas Hubbard and Richard Seiersen, combined with the FAIR (Factor Analysis of Information Risk) framework.

FAIR Institute
HDR Methodology
Monte Carlo

"Organizations using quantitative cyber risk methods make demonstrably better security investment decisions than those relying on qualitative scales."

— Douglas Hubbard
Author, "How to Measure Anything"

Stop Guessing. Start Quantifying.

Join security leaders who speak the board's language—dollars and probabilities, not colors and gut feelings.

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